New York CD-1 General Election Poll
on behalf of the NRCC
September 21-22, 2014

TO:                        Interested Parties
FROM:                 Brock McCleary
Date:                     September 24, 2014
RE:                        Key Poll Findings – New York CD-1

Incumbent Congressman Tim Bishop is in a dead heat with challenger Lee Zeldin in the race for New York’s 1st Congressional District.


Ballot Test

Q: If the election for Congress were held today, who would you vote for: Lee Zeldin, Republican or Tim Bishop, Democrat?

Congressman Bishop garners stronger support from his own party than does Zeldin; Bishop receives 79% of the vote from Democrats while Zeldin receives 70% from Republicans.  However, Zeldin leads Bishop among Independent voters by 11% (44-33%).


Bishop Job Approval

Slightly more voters disapprove (40%) of Congressman Bishop’s job performance than approve (39%).  Among independent voters, Bishop’s job approval stands at 27% approve and 43% disapprove.

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Bishop is handling his job as Congressman?

Generic Ballot

The generic congressional ballot favors Republicans by a 5% margin (47-42%).

Q: In an election for Congress, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 568 likely voters and the margin of error is +/-4.1%. The party affiliation for the sample is 40% Republican, 33% Democratic, 27% Independent.  Cell phone interviews were conducted using live operators and land line interviews were conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR). The survey was conducted September 21-22, 2014 by Harper Polling on behalf of the NRCC.  The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Harper Polling