Nebraska Senate Poll

The sample size for the full survey is 538 likely voters.  The margin of error is +/-4.22%.  For the Republican primary, the sample size is 230 with a margin of error of +/-6.46%.  For the Democratic primary, the sample size is 133 with a margin of error of +/-8.50%. The poll was conducted June 1-2, 2013 by Harper Polling on behalf of Conservative Intel.

In the race to succeed retiring Senator Mike Johanns, Republicans hold a considerable advantage over Democrats.  Fifty percent of likely voters in Nebraska prefer to be represented by a Republican in the U.S. Senate; 30% prefer a Democrat.  Men opt for the Republican by 27% (52%-25%).  Among women, the Republicans’ lead drops to 13% (48%-35%).

In a series of general election ballot tests, the Republican candidate leads the Democratic candidate in all five hypothetical matchups: Democratic Lincoln Mayor Chris Beutler versus Republican Attorney General Jon Bruning, Republican State Auditor Mike Foley versus Democrat Chuck Hassebrook, Member of the University of Nebraska Board of Regents, former COO of Ameritrade Republican Peter Ricketts versus former Democratic Lt. Governor Kim Robak, Democratic State Senator Steve Lathrop versus former State Treasurer Republican Shane Osborn, and Democratic Attorney Mike Meister versus Midland University President Republican Ben Sasse.

Nebraska voters give President Obama low marks for his job performance as 35% approve and 56% disapprove.  Twenty-one percent of Democrats disapprove of the way the President is handling his job.

Republican Primary

In a hypothetical primary matchup between five leading Republicans, Bruning leads Osborn 28%-17%.  Twenty-nine percent of the primary electorate remains undecided.  Among women, Bruning and Osborn slightly increase their percentages of the vote to 31% and 21% respectively on the initial ballot.  Ricketts’ support grows to 19% among men.

Democratic Primary

On the Democratic side, with 19% of the vote Robak narrowly leads Hassebrook, Beulter and Lathrop with 14%, 13%, and 13% respectively.  Among self-described Liberals, Robak leads with 39% on the initial ballot.

The Obama Administration Scandals

The controversies concerning the IRS targeting conservative groups and the FBI checking reporters’ email elicit strong responses from Nebraska voters.

Q: You may have heard news reports about the FBI secretly monitoring the emails of news reporters.  Do agree or disagree that those responsible for authorizing these searches should be fired?

Republicans overwhelmingly agree at 77% while Democrats are split on the question with 34% agreeing, 36% disagreeing and 22% not sure.

Q: You may have heard news reports about the IRS targeting political opponents of President Obama.  Under the new health care law, the IRS will be the chief enforcement agency for compliance with the law.  How concerned are you about the IRS enforcing health care laws?

Among self-described Moderates, 53% are very concerned and another 15% are somewhat concerned.  Forty-five percent of Democrats are not concerned.

Q: You may have heard news reports about the IRS targeting political opponents of President Obama.  Should those responsible be allowed to keep their jobs, be fired, or face legal consequences for their actions?

A plurality of voters from all parties believe that those responsible should face legal consequences: Republicans at 52%, Democrats at 32% and Independents at 41%.