Louisiana Congressional District 3 Poll
June 16-18, 2016
Gus Rantz for Louisiana
The Race for Congress
The Rantz campaign’s spring strategy has proven successful, resulting in notable improvement of Gus Rantz’s image and ballot separation from other candidates.
Q: In an election for Congress, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Congressional candidate Gus Rantz’s very favorable rating has more than doubled since mid-April (8%, 4/14: 3%) and he has a net +3% image in the district (16% favorable/13% unfavorable/72% no opinion). Rantz still has modest name identification with room to grow. Rantz’s image improves among self-identified Very Conservatives (19% favorable/10% unfavorable) and Somewhat Conservatives (18%/14%) as well as Tea Party supporters (19%/6%) and young voters (18-39: 22%/7%).
Congressional Ballot Test
Gus Rantz has tripled his share of the vote on the Congressional Ballot since April, and now stands at 12% (4/14: 4%), while most other candidates have remained stagnant or seen a decline in their support. Rantz earns consistent support across the three regions of the district (Lafayette: 12%, Lake Charles: 11%, South: 14%), and his share of the vote grows among the younger age groups (18-39: 18%, 40-54: 15%). Scott Angelle’s strongest advantages are among Democrats (37%-15% Higgins) and Clinton voters (36-11% Higgins). His support from Republicans has plummeted since mid-April (35%, 4/14: 56%).
Q: If the election for Congress were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Republican Gus Rantz, Republican Brett Geymann, Republican Scott Angelle, Republican Grover Rees, Republican Eric Knezek, Republican Clay Higgins OR Republican Greg Ellison?
Rantz Campaign Communications
A significant 59% majority say what they have seen, read or heard about Gus Rantz gives them a more favorable view of him (19% unfavorable). Very Conservatives (64% favorable/21% unfavorable), Somewhat Conservatives (78%/0%) and Tea Party supporters (85%/0%) all like what they are hearing about Gus Rantz. The campaign is effectively reaching voters with its advertising on the radio (36%) and on the internet or social media (34%).
Q: Has that information given you a more favorable or a more unfavorable opinion of Gus Rantz?
Q: Do you recall where you saw, read or heard that information about Gus Rantz: In the mail, On the internet or social media, On TV, On the radio, or In-person?
The Race for President
Q: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Donald Trump, Republican?
Results & Methodology
METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 400 likely voters in Louisiana Congressional District 3 and the margin of error is +/-4.9%. Reponses were gathered through land line interviews conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR). The survey was conducted June 16 - 18, 2016 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.