Conducted:  April 13-14, 2013

Sample Size:  2375 Likely Voters
Margin of Error:  +/-2.01

Conservative Intel National Tracking Poll

Tracking Questions


QUESTION:
(Republicans Only)
In a Republican primary election, would you vote for the party-backed candidate or the tea party candidate?


QUESTION:
If the election for Congress were held today, would you prefer to vote for: the Republican candidate or Democratic candidate?


QUESTION:
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

QUESTION:
Is President Obama making things in this country lately, better or worse?


Immigration Series

Voters appear to have little faith in the promises associated with a conditional amnesty for illegal immigrants.  Support for a “path to citizenship” is contingent upon pledges to secure the border and deny federal public assistance to the newly-legalized.

As the Congress prepares to debate the feasibility of securing the country’s southern border in return for amnesty, voters are pessimistic with 53% saying the government will be unable to do so.  Remarkably, this opinion is universally held by voters across all regions, ages, party affiliations and ideologies.


QUESTION:
Congress is considering reforming our immigration system.  The proposal aims to secure our southern border to prevent another illegal immigration problem in the future.  Do you believe that they will be able to secure the border?


Likewise, voters in every demographic group of the survey believe that the government will be unable to prevent illegal immigrants from receiving public benefits once legalized.  Advocates for the Senate immigration proposal have a long way to go in convincing voters that their promises have a chance of becoming reality.

QUESTION:
The proposal calls for prohibiting newly-legalized citizens from receiving public assistance.  Do you believe that the government will be able to prevent them from receiving public benefits?


The economic impact of granting legal status to millions of illegal immigrants is being hotly debated.  In a comparison between the two arguments, 46% say newly-legalized immigrants will “work for less, take jobs away from Americans, and receive more in public benefits than they pay in taxes.”  Forty-one percent say they will “take jobs that others will not, pay their fair share in taxes, and help boost the economy.”  Independent/Third Party voters believe the economic impact will be negative by a margin of 52%-35%.

QUESTION:
The proposal would grant legal status to immigrants currently in the country illegal.  Which of the following statement comes closest to your opinion about the impact this will have on the economy:  Newly-legalized individuals will take jobs that others will not, pay their fair share in taxes, and help boost the economy. OR, these individuals will work for less, take jobs away from Americans, and receive more in public benefits than they pay in taxes?


For all their pessimism, voters are inclined to believe that Republicans will “win more support from Hispanic voters if they back a proposal grating legal status to illegal immigrants.”  Roughly a third of the electorate is undecided on the question.

QUESTION:
Do you believe that the Republican Party will win more support from Hispanic voters if they back a proposal granting legal status to illegal immigrants?


Topical National Issues

QUESTION:
Do you support or oppose a proposal by the Obama Administration to stimulate the economy by spending tax dollars on projects that create jobs?


QUESTION:
Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who supports a budget that changes the way Social Security benefits are calculated, resulting in cuts to seniors’ retirement?


QUESTION:
You may have head that the rogue nation of North Korea is threatening to launch a nuclear weapon against the United States.  Do you believe that the North Koreans would follow through on that threat?
 
Harper Polling