Colorado Statewide Poll
on behalf of American Action Network

TO:                Interested Parties
FROM:          Brock McCleary, President
DATE:           March 10, 2014
RE:                Key Findings – Colorado Likely Voter Poll

Medicare Advantage and Obamacare
The Medicare Advantage program is both well known to Colorado voters and viewed quite favorably (47% favorable – 24% unfavorable).  The favorable opinion of Medicare Advantage crosses the political divide as the program receives favorable ratings among Republicans (45-26%), Democrats (46-27%), Independents (45-22%), Whites (47-23%) and Hispanics (44-34%).  Fully 2 in 5 seniors (40%) surveyed say they are on a private plan like Medicare Advantage. 

On the other hand, the new health care law is viewed favorably by 37% and unfavorably by 55% of Colorado likely voters.  Among key demographics, the new health care law is viewed unfavorably by Independents (29-59%), Seniors (37-54%), and Women (40-53%).

Fifty-three percent of Colorado voters disapprove of the recent cuts to Medicare Advantage by the Obama Administration.  A majority of both Independents (19-53%) and Hispanics (23-51%) disapprove of the cuts. 

A majority of Colorado voters don’t believe President Obama kept his word when he said “nobody is talking about reducing Medicare benefits,” 50% to 35%. Additionally, 50% of voters are less likely to support a candidate who voted for the health care law and said “if you have an insurance policy you like, doctor…you’ll be able to keep that doctor or that insurance policy.”

U.S. Senate Race
Republicans hold a 47-42% advantage on the generic ballot for Senate among Colorado likely voters.  Eighty-seven percent of self-identified conservative voters prefer the Republican candidate and an identical 87% of liberal voters prefer the Democratic candidate.  Independents prefer the Republican 41-33%.

Senator Mark Udall leads Congressman Cory Gardner 45-44%.  The gender gap is balanced with Udall leading by 4% among women (47-43%) and Gardner leading by 4% among men (46-42%).  Independents favor Gardner 41-35%.

Udall’s image rating with likely voters is 39% favorable to 43% unfavorable.  The Senator is strongest among seniors (46-36%) and non-white/non-Hispanic voters (44-32%).  Independents (34-48%) hold an unfavorable opinion of Udall.

Congressman Gardner has 56% hard name identification among Colorado likely voters.  Likely voters are split on their opinion of Gardner (28% favorable – 28% unfavorable).  Republicans view Gardner very favorably (48-15%) while Independents are split on the Congressman (23-24%). He is most well known in the Denver media market where his name ID reaches 62%.

Generic Senate Ballot

Q: In an election for Senate, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?

Q: Which of the following candidates for Senate are you more likely to vote for: Candidate A is a supporter of President Obama’s new health care law but wants minor changes to the law, or Candidate B is an opponent of Obamacare and is calling for a full repeal and replacement of the law?

Q: The Obama Administration recently announced that it is cutting payment rates for Medicare Advantage, which opponents say could result in higher health care costs, fewer benefits, and less choice for seniors.  Do you approve or disapprove of this action?

Q: In an election for United States Senator, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Mark Udall, Democrat or Cory Gardner, Republican?

Q: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the new health care law known as Obamacare?

Q: A candidate for Congress who voted for the new health care law told voters, (quote) “if you have an insurance policy you like, doctor or medical facility that provides medical services to you, you’ll be able to keep that doctor or that insurance policy.”  Knowing what you know now about the health care law, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for this candidate?

Candidate Images

Q: During the health care reform debate, President Obama repeatedly said, “If you like your doctor, you will be able to keep your doctor.”  Are you concerned that the new health care law will impact your ability to see your doctors?

Q: Do you believe Mark Udall has done enough to deserve reelection or should we give someone else a chance?

Medicare & Obamacare

Q: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Medicare?

Q: Now, please tell me whether you have heard of Medicare Advantage, the part of Medicare administered by private health insurance companies?

(n=379, +/-5.03%)
Q: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Medicare Advantage?

Q: During the health care reform debate, President Obama said, (quote) “nobody is talking reducing Medicare benefits.”  Do you believe the President kept his word?

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 689 likely voters and the margin of error is +/- 3.73 %.  The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted March 8-9, 2014 by Harper Polling on behalf of American Action Network.  The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Harper Polling