The signs were there, both in the data and anecdotally, that forecast the stunning outcome of the presidential election.
The signs were there, both in the data and anecdotally, that forecast the stunning outcome of the presidential election. When Pennsylvania was called for Donald Trump on Tuesday night, the electoral math became apparent and the news networks began calling the race.
Where others did not, Harper Polling correctly forecast a dead heat in Pennsylvania when our final public poll from November 2-3 showed a 46-46 percent tie between Clinton and Trump. This follows precisely forecasting a 10 percent victory for Gov. Tom Wolf in 2014.
Pittsburgh/Southwest Swings Toward Trump
In late September, our polling showed Hillary Clinton with a small advantage over Donald Trump in the Pittsburgh and Southwest region of the state (47-44 percent). In our final pre-Election survey, Trump turned a 3 percent deficit into a 6 percent lead over Clinton in the region (49-43 percent).
This shift in preference among the candidates was a glaring sign of momentum for Donald Trump.
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