Commentary- Democrats’ Senate Hopes Take a Hit in PA

by Jonathan S. Tobin | May 13, 2015
A new Harper poll shows Toomey with massive leads over all of his possible Democratic challengers.
After absorbing a midterm shellacking in 2014 that cost them control of the Senate, Democrats began looking forward to 2016 when their chances for winning it back looked bright. 
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But a new Harper poll shows Toomey with massive leads over all of his possible Democratic challengers. It may be early but unless something unexpected happens to alter the political landscape, serious pundits are going to have to move Toomey’s seat from the tossup category into the “likely Republican” category thereby seriously reducing the chances of the Democrats getting back their Senate majority.
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The bad news in this poll for the Democrats is more than just the large margins that Toomey holds over his opponents. Against all of them, Toomey is comfortably over 50 percent, the magic number for an incumbent looking to hold onto his seat. That alone shows that the assumption about Toomey’s vulnerability is mistaken.

Just as bad is the fact that the candidate who does the best of the three, Sestak, is the one that most Democrat professionals in the state want to avoid nominating.
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Read more here.

Harper Polling